Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.177396 0.211010 0.248750 0.294189 0.347338 0.407464 0.480562
2025-05-11 0.125395 0.167628 0.220330 0.290623 0.381588 0.494961 0.646571
2025-05-18 0.093905 0.137182 0.195668 0.279872 0.397269 0.554297 0.779238
2025-05-25 0.072295 0.113851 0.173906 0.266059 0.402704 0.596367 0.889744
2025-06-01 0.061189 0.102805 0.166507 0.269708 0.430906 0.670729 1.051367
2025-06-08 0.049936 0.089141 0.152455 0.260313 0.437042 0.711894 1.167004
2025-06-15 0.044033 0.082970 0.148914 0.266345 0.467009 0.791392 1.348636
2025-06-22 0.038454 0.076276 0.143282 0.267692 0.488802 0.859348 1.517977
2025-06-29 0.033091 0.068982 0.135380 0.263695 0.500448 0.910999 1.664625
2025-07-06 0.028684 0.062704 0.128298 0.259962 0.511638 0.962305 1.814900
2025-07-13 0.026599 0.060686 0.128885 0.270491 0.549802 1.064354 2.064016
2025-07-20 0.025731 0.061040 0.134103 0.290534 0.607950 1.207812 2.401297
2025-07-27 0.023734 0.058825 0.134222 0.301264 0.651033 1.330951 2.719692
2025-08-03 0.020779 0.053948 0.128112 0.298439 0.667027 1.404934 2.953832
2025-08-10 0.017662 0.048075 0.118875 0.287482 0.664615 1.442182 3.119343
2025-08-17 0.014824 0.042305 0.108904 0.273322 0.653302 1.459766 3.246308
2025-08-24 0.013471 0.040080 0.106880 0.277065 0.681709 1.562355 3.558733
2025-08-31 0.011574 0.036005 0.099685 0.267429 0.678430 1.596868 3.729940
2025-09-07 0.010702 0.034611 0.099007 0.273616 0.712682 1.716421 4.096560
2025-09-14 0.009707 0.032663 0.096571 0.274997 0.735520 1.812606 4.420304
2025-09-21 0.008610 0.030172 0.092273 0.270897 0.744322 1.877469 4.679118
2025-09-28 0.007658 0.027932 0.088298 0.267069 0.753282 1.943455 4.946575
2025-10-05 0.007297 0.027544 0.089570 0.277868 0.801345 2.107299 5.459644